Wind AlliesTier 1
at Store Championship (MRC)
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 25.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -3.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.1% | +4.9 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Charged Assailant | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zander, Deft Executor | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mercenary's Blade | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 |